It Was Good While It Lasted
Thursday, May 15th, 2008The days of lower interest rates are numbered. The inflation beast has been ignored too long and it is going on a rampage.
The booming markets such as China and India are suffering under high inflation the most. China’s inflation rate is maintaining levels at more than 8 per cent.
And despite the US data yesterday showing that inflation was rising slower than expected, the country is in a period of sharp economic downturn when inflation rates are expected to be under downward pressure.
The upward pressure on inflation is a worldwide phenomenon which could end the era of low interest rates.
In Japan the inflation rate is continuing to push up to levels that could cause a inflationary crisis.
Many economies are starting to question if interest rate management is an effective tool in the fight against inflation. Considering that small changes have a strong and immediate impact on households with debt but such a delayed and relatively minimal impact on inflation.
Inflation seems to be moving independently of other economic activity, and the question that many governments are asking their central banks is short of price fixing and wage freezing is there a more effective way of reducing inflation in the economy.
It is a question that may need answering as the Bank of England warns that inflation pressure continues to rise because of the cost of food and energy.
Early this week the UK central bank governor, Mervyn King, said slow growth and rising inflation requires delicate balance from the central bank.
“The monetary policy committee is facing its most difficult challenge yet,” Mr King said.
“We are traveling along a bumpy road as the economy rebalances,” he said.
